Ukraine's war negotiations will be rollercoaster - Political analyst
Negotiations on ending the war in Ukraine are likely to take a long time. In particular, there may be a rollercoaster in this regard, said Volodymyr Fesenko, head of the Penta Center for Applied Political Studies, in a comment to RBC-Ukraine.
A political analyst suggested that future US President Donald Trump will likely attempt to negotiate peace with Russian President Vladimir Putin. However, if Putin refuses to make concessions, the US may increase pressure on Russia. This could involve boosting military aid to Ukraine.
"There is hope among some colleagues and some people in the President's team that, not immediately but after some time, Trump may act in our favor," clarified Fesenko.
He noted that Trump is attempting "to break the inertia" that has built up over the past year, during which the US government did not increase aid to Ukraine or make any moves toward ending the war. The new President could become a catalyst for accelerating processes related to Ukraine.
Fesenko believes Ukraine will not accept most of Russia's demands and there can not be concessions only from the Ukrainian side.
"At a minimum, in the coming weeks, I think we can expect concrete actions or initiatives to begin negotiations. But after that, it will get more difficult," the expert added.
He suggested that Ukraine's talks with Russia may not end quickly and could even reach a deadlock. The problem is that Moscow will likely issue ultimatums or propose a ceasefire along the front line.
"I think we are in for what I would call a rollercoaster in negotiations to end the war, or perhaps an American-Russian rollercoaster, as there will be ups and downs on both sides. The situation can sometimes be quite dizzying. But there will be no quick result, and there will be much drama," the political analyst emphasized.
Trump to become President
Donald Trump will become the US president in January. On November 7, he suggested he would hold talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported today that in one conversation with European leaders, Trump made it clear he would not be able to convince Ukraine to make concessions to Putin unless something is offered in return.