Putin will join peace talks under three conditions, says political analyst
Photo: Russian dictator Vladimir Putin (Getty Images)
Political analyst Ivan Preobrazhensky named the conditions under which Putin could theoretically sit down for negotiations on the war in Ukraine, estimating their likelihood at only 2–3% at the moment. He said this in an interview with RBC-Ukraine.
The expert believes that until Russia faces a combination of external pressure, military setbacks, and economic problems, peace talks will be more of an imitation than a real opportunity to end the conflict.
"The minimally necessary conditions are increased sanctions pressure, and not only sanctions — a military defeat, meaning at least halting the offensive. And serious internal problems in Russia, for example, with the economy, or with recruiting mercenaries," the expert explained.
He added that large-scale investments from the US or other major international donors could also play a role by creating an additional incentive for Moscow.
The political analyst notes that even if the US or individual investors attempt to "push through" the Russian position, the likelihood of signing a genuine peace agreement in its pure form remains minimal.
"There is a micro-chance, I don’t know, two or three percent, that Russia will still sit at the negotiating table and will at least imitate negotiations for some time," the expert believes.
Putin on peace talks
Recently, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has been showing readiness to hold discussions — but only on terms that practically doom the talks to failure from Ukraine's side. On one hand, there is rhetoric about peace; on the other, the Kremlin's actual position involves maintaining control over occupied territories and refusing compromise on key issues.
Russian dictator Vladimir Putin said that Russia agrees the 28-point peace plan proposed by Trump could be used "as a basis for future agreements." However, the Kremlin refuses to consider it a draft peace agreement.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said that after the talks in Geneva, the plan was reduced to 22 points.
At the same time, the Financial Times reported that the document was significantly shortened — from 28 points to 19.
On November 28, the US shared with Russia the parameters of a peace plan coordinated with Ukraine.
