ISW experts explain why Russia try to show success on left bank of Dnipro
The Kremlin's statement about the capture of Krynky is likely premature and made to enhance the informational effect before the presidential elections in March 2024, according to the ISW report.
The Head of the United Coordinating Press Center of Security and Defense Forces of the South of Ukraine, Natalia Humeniuk, described Russia's efforts to destroy the Ukrainian bridgehead as an attempt by Russia to achieve an informational goal ahead of the presidential elections in Russia. Shoigu characterized Russia's efforts on the eastern bank of the Kherson region as analogous to the capture of Avdiivka.
The Kremlin is in no hurry to acknowledge that Russia has taken the initiative in Ukraine. This may be due to fears that Russia will not be able to sustain its successes. At the same time, Shoigu announced the end of the Ukrainian counteroffensive to demonstrate that Russia had the initiative.
The Kremlin's readiness to rhetorically discuss the pace and initiative of Russian offensive operations in Ukraine may be a result of growing confidence in Russia's prospects and deliberate efforts to support Kremlin narratives about the war as the presidential elections approach.
According to analysts at ISW, the Kremlin is increasingly talking about the pace and initiative of the offensive in Ukraine. This may be due to a newfound confidence in Russia's prospects, as well as a desire to boost Putin's ratings ahead of the elections.
The Kremlin is increasingly talking about military victories in Ukraine, but this does not always correspond to reality. The goal of such statements is to create the impression that Russia is winning, thereby boosting Putin's ratings and demoralizing Ukraine. However, this rhetoric may create inflated expectations that the Russian army cannot fulfill.
Earlier, we wrote that the Armed Forces of Ukraine refuted the information about the capture of Krynky by Russian forces.