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Former US envoy to Ukraine says Russia loses war

Mon, May 04, 2026 - 09:48
3 min
Kellogg compared Russia to the Soviet Union in Afghanistan, and not in Putin’s favor
Former US envoy to Ukraine says Russia loses war Photo: Former US Special Envoy for Ukraine and Russia Keith Kellogg (Vitaliyi Nosach, RBC-Ukraine)

Former US Special Envoy for Ukraine and Russia, Keith Kellogg, states that Moscow is losing the war, not winning it, and called on Russia to come to the negotiating table, according to Fox News.

Russia is not winning – Kellogg

According to Kellogg, the Ukrainian military has performed brilliantly. Since 2014, Ukraine has lost only about 1% of its territory.

Kellogg says that if Russia were truly winning, it would be on the other side of the Dnipro, in Kharkiv, and in Kyiv, but that this was not the case. He adds that his message to Moscow was simple: they were not winning, but losing

Million casualties and not a single breakthrough

The former special envoy notes that Kremlin leader Vladimir Putin created this problem for himself. Russia has already lost, according to various estimates, between 1.2 and 1.4 million people killed and wounded.

By comparison, the Soviet army withdrew from Afghanistan, having lost only 18,000 soldiers. At the same time, Moscow still cannot take the rest of Donbas. Ukrainian positions there are well fortified.

Russia's concessions are key to negotiations

Kellogg also comments on potential negotiations. In his view, this is primarily a European issue, and Europe must take an active role in it.

At the same time, he warns, if Ukraine surrenders its defensive positions in Donbas, it will open the way for the enemy to advance deep into the country, all the way to Kyiv.

Kellogg emphasizes that Russia should stop pretending it can take the rest and start negotiating what it can actually hold.

Earlier, Kellogg also called for the creation of a new defense system to replace NATO. He called the alliance timid due to its stance on Iran, and among potential reliable partners, he specifically mentioned Ukraine as an effective ally.

In March, Kellogg compared Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to US President Donald Trump, describing both as straightforward and tough individuals. At the time, the special envoy emphasized that he had personally visited the front lines and had firsthand knowledge of the situation.

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