British intelligence forecasts the number of Russian soldiers killed in February
The pace of the Russian army's advance remains high. Daily losses in February will continue to exceed 1,000 personnel per day, according to the UK Ministry of Defence on Twitter (X).
According to the report, January 2025 became the second most costly month of the war for Russia, with a total of 48,240 casualties (killed and wounded) as reported by the General Staff of Ukraine. In December 2024, 48,670 Russian losses were recorded, making it the most costly month of the war for Russia so far.
According to British intelligence, Russia has lost more than 50,000 personnel in 2025 and over 837,000 since the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
In January 2025, Russia also recorded the second-highest average daily losses in its war against Ukraine, with 1,556 personnel per day. This does not represent a significant change compared to the total losses in December 2024, which averaged 1,570 per day — the highest daily loss rate for Russia in the conflict so far.
"Russia's casualty rate will likely continue to average above 1,000 a day in February 2025, reflecting the high tempo of Russian operations and offensives," the UK Ministry of Defence noted.
Russia’s losses (killed and wounded) in its war against Ukraine reached a new monthly high in December 2024. According to British intelligence, these losses were driven by infantry assaults and are not expected to decrease.
According to an RBC-Ukraine source in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, as of early November 2024, the Russian force grouping in Ukraine numbered about 575,000 personnel. Moscow aimed to increase this number to 690,000 by the end of the year, but due to heavy losses, it failed to achieve this goal.