Bloomberg describes likely scenario of Ukraine's actions at front in next six months
Photo: Bloomberg described a likely scenario for Ukraine's actions at the front in the next six months (Getty Images)
Ukraine will probably try to hold the front line as long as possible until the second half of 2024. Then Kyiv could receive F-16 fighter jets, and Western munitions production would increase, according to Bloomberg.
"That would allow Kyiv to plan for another possible counteroffensive in 2025," the article says.
"A major offensive would still be a challenge for the Kremlin after two years of war that have depleted its forces....Despite Ukraine’s shortages, Russia would need far more soldiers but also heavy tanks and vehicles to launch an offensive," according to the head of NATO's military committee, Rob Bauer.
Putin “has more artillery, he has an ability to replace a certain amount of missiles every month, which he’s using, but he’s not been fully successful in terms of the increase in, for example, tanks and armored vehicles,” Bauer says.
He also points to recent data on Russia's significant losses in the war.
“The one-to-seven ratio means he will need a lot of forces to defeat the Ukrainians," the admiral adds.
F-16 jets for Ukraine
On February 18, Foreign Policy reported that Ukraine could receive its first F-16 fighter jets in the summer of 2024. This is likely to be in June. Ukrainian Air Force spokesperson, commenting on media reports, recently noted that it was not yet known when Kyiv would receive the F-16s. But the process is underway, and Ukraine is switching to the fighters on an emergency basis.
In his turn, Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte said that the process of transferring F-16s to Ukraine was on schedule. Ukraine is to receive over 20 combat aircraft.
The Netherlands and Denmark led an aviation coalition to train Ukrainian pilots on American F-16 fighters. These countries have special flight simulators.
In August 2023, Denmark began training the first group of Ukrainian pilots on F-16 fighters. It was about eight pilots. Last November, Ukrainian Air Force spokesperson Yurii Ihnat said that Ukrainian pilots were already undergoing air training with instructors on F-16s in Denmark.
