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Ukraine’s intelligence reveals state of Russia’s missile production

Ukraine’s intelligence reveals state of Russia’s missile production Photo: Russia is increasing production of Kh-101 and Kinzhal missiles (Vitalii Nosach, RBC-Ukraine)

Russia is increasing the production of certain missile types, particularly Kh-101 cruise missiles and Kinzhal missiles. However, the overall growth in high-precision missile production does not exceed 1.5 times, stated Deputy Chief of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine, Major General Vadym Skibitskyi, in an interview with RBC-Ukraine.

Missile production in Russia in 2025 has not undergone significant changes compared to 2024, although a redistribution in manufacturing has been observed.

Skibitskyi noted that Russia has increased the production of Kh-101 cruise missiles while reducing the number of missiles for the Kalibr system, assessing their effectiveness.

"The enemy also plans to increase the production of Kinzhal missiles and ballistic missiles for the Iskander system, as these types of weapons have proven more effective in combat conditions," Skibitskyi noted.

According to him, the overall increase in high-precision missile production does not exceed 1.2 to 1.5 times compared to the previous year.

Russia plans to increase production

Russia plans to manufacture hundreds of missiles in 2025 for attacks on Ukrainian territory, including 750 9M723 ballistic missiles for the Iskander missile system and 560 Kh-101 cruise missiles. However, these plans have not been officially confirmed, and the question remains whether they can be implemented.

According to Defense Express, the projected production rate for Kh-101 cruise missiles is about 46 units per month, which indicates that current production levels is being maintained. For the 9M723 ballistic missiles, the production rate is expected to rise to 62 units per month, which is 25% higher than the production pace in December 2024.

RUSI authors add that Russia intends to upgrade the Kh-101 missiles by equipping them with heat-seeking decoys to counter man-portable air defense systems, enhanced electronics for more accurate targeting, and warheads with cluster munitions.