Expert assesses possibility of radical changes on frontline
Photo: An expert assessed whether there could be significant changes on the front line (Getty Images)
At present, the offensive potential of the Russian forces is “moving from a peak to a plateau.” However, it is too early to talk about any radical changes on the front line in the near future, stated Ivan Tymochko, head of the Reserve Council of the Ukrainian Ground Forces, in a commentary to the RBC-Ukraine YouTube channel.
"I am very cautious about statements claiming that the Russians have already diminished their offensive potential and cannot ramp it up. A couple of months ago, I said that the Russians were at the peak of their capabilities, then the peak transitions to a plateau, and eventually, a decline in potential. Now we can consider that they are moving from the peak to the plateau," noted Tymochko.
In other words, as the expert explained, the Russian forces cannot increase their offensive potential, but they still have some resources to maintain it at the current level.
"However, along the front line, we are already observing that this situation is essentially happening. Yes, it's not very noticeable, but gradually, little by little. This is linked to the fact that their mobilization is limping along and that we've managed to destroy a significant number of their stockpiles, infrastructure, and oil refineries," Tymochko added.
According to him, the Ukrainian forces are also in a rather difficult state. And even if the Russians lose their potential, it does not mean that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will immediately be able to launch a counteroffensive.
"We create some absolutely ideal picture. In fact, no, the battles will be tough for us because it won't make a significant difference for us whether the enemy attacks 60 times or 40 times a day - battles will still be continuous," emphasized the expert.
In his opinion, this may reduce the number of casualties of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, but the situation remains difficult for both sides.
"We shouldn't be celebrating premature victory, but this is what prevents the Russians from increasing their potential. And it allows us to build up our resources, even if not as quickly as we'd like," added Tymochko.
At the same time, he noted that no radical changes on the front line can be expected in the near future.
"But we see that the fact that the trend of absolute Russian control over the situation is no longer based on solid evidence. Even now, we see how Putin begins to dance, the nuclear rhetoric is changing. We’ll see how the international community, particularly in America and NATO countries, will support us, and how unified we will be in the situation surrounding us," Tymochko stressed.
Situation at the frontline
According to the General Staff, as of the morning of January 30, 85 combat engagements took place on the front lines. Russian forces continue to actively attack in the Pokrovsk direction.
In particular, the Russian troops have advanced to the southern flank of Pokrovsk. There, the enemy is carrying out attacks on the positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Since the beginning of the full-scale war against Ukraine, Russia has lost more than 835,000 military personnel. In particular, the Russian forces' losses yesterday amounted to 1,270 troops.
