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US election: Expert identifies key challenge for Ukraine if Trump wins

US election: Expert identifies key challenge for Ukraine if Trump wins Former US President Donald Trump (Photo: Getty Images)

The main challenge for Ukraine in the event of Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential elections lies in the likelihood that Washington will not engage in foreign policy for an extended period, including assistance to our country.

This is stated in the material of RBC-Ukraine "Election year: Will US and Europe maintain unity on Ukraine amid turbulent 2024."

"The main challenge is that for quite a long time, up to six months, maybe more, the United States will be busy trying to digest Trump and his new reforms. And it will not be clear whether Washington will be able to engage in foreign policy during this period, to help Ukraine and other partners. One way or another, Trump will be problematic and a crisis. But I will not say that this is an apocalyptic scenario for us," Kraiev added, an analyst at the Ukrainian Prism center.

In his opinion, Trump will be problematic and crisis-ridden anyway, but it is unlikely to be an apocalyptic scenario for Ukraine.

"We can see how his rhetoric can change. However, the point is that for us he is not so predictable as Biden," added the analyst.

Ukraine will be particularly attentive to the elections in the United States. Including because Trump's promise to "end the war" within 24 hours and hints at stopping aid cause concern.

Although lately he has softened his rhetoric, and Republicans, who have blocked a $60 billion package, have picked up his idea and are preparing a bill that would partially close Ukraine's military needs on credit terms. In any case, his possible victory will be a challenge for Ukraine.

US election

The US presidential election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. According to forecasts, the main candidate from the Democrats will be the incumbent American leader Joe Biden.

From the Republicans, besides Donald Trump, former US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley took part in the race, but she withdrew from the race in early March.

On March 3, it was reported that according to a poll conducted by The New York Times and the Siena College, in a hypothetical rematch match, Trump leads Biden by five points.

And on March 5, Biden and Trump won victory in the nationwide party primaries in most states. The candidates have set the stage for a historic rematch in the general election in November, despite their low popularity ratings.

As The Economist writes, according to averaged polling data, 45% of voters are ready to support Biden, and 44% - Trump. Overall, as of March, the chances of both candidates look roughly equal.