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Ukraine's intel chief estimates how long Russian offensive will last

Ukraine's intel chief estimates how long Russian offensive will last Kyrylo Budanov, head of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine (photo: Getty Images)

In a month and a half to two months, the Russian offensive in Ukraine should be over. It has already lasted too long, says Kyrylo Budanov, head of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine.

"In a month and a half to two months, the main pressure (of the Russian army - ed.) should be over, because the offensive has already been prolonged. The practice of the 10-year war shows that neither side can sustain its offensive potential for more than two months," he said.

Budanov noted that Russian offensive operations are approaching three months, so there will be some decline.

"But we know that after the decline and a short lull, there will be new attempts by the enemy to attack. And we are preparing for this. Therefore, everything depends more on ourselves - what our actions will be. Will we just sit and wait for four or five months to pass and everything will happen again, or will we act proactively," the DIU chief added.

Russia's offensive in Ukraine

At the end of July, National Guard Commander Oleksandr Pivnenko said that in a month and a half, the Russian forces would go on the defensive at the front. The Russians would not be able to continue their assaults in several directions due to heavy losses.

At the end of June, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that, in particular, Russia had failed in its offensive on Kharkiv, which it launched on May 10.

In a commentary for RBC-Ukraine, expert Pavlo Narozhnyy predicted that the dynamics at the front would not change by October. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will be in a stalemate, and Russia does not have the resources for a major advance.