According to Saakian, he does not believe in a civil war that could break out after the US election. At the same time, he is more inclined to a scenario with a crisis that could last from several months to six months.

“The period when there is a newly elected president, but he has not yet integrated is a little over two months. And I would say that the crisis can last up to 6 months. This is a negative scenario,” he explains.

The positive scenario is that the United States will manage to overcome the crisis during the aforementioned two months, and then the newly elected president will enter the White House after the acute phase of the crisis.

“It will depend not so much on the candidates. It will be a key test for the American system in general,” he says.

Presidential elections in the United States

On Tuesday, November 5, the United States is holding a presidential election. The main contenders for this position are Kamala Harris, who represents the Democratic Party, and Donald Trump, the candidate of the Republican Party.

Recent opinion polls show that the ratings of both candidates are almost equal. 7 swing states, where voters often change their support, will be decisive for the outcome of the vote.

Meanwhile, Western officials in an open letter called on European countries to be prepared for any consequences of the presidential election.

For more information on what consequences the US election may have for Ukraine, read RBC-Ukraine's article.