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Russia's rising defense budget unlikely to boost military growth - ISW

Russia's rising defense budget unlikely to boost military growth - ISW Photo: Russian President Vladimir Putin (Getty Images)
Author: Bohdan Babaiev

Increased Russian defense spending does not necessarily equate to enhanced military capabilities. However, it may affect the Kremlin's ability to sustain its war in Ukraine, reports the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Analysts note that on December 1, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree approving the federal budget for 2025. Approximately 41% of Russia's annual expenditures are allocated to national security and defense.

The ISW points out that while increased defense spending is a concern, it does not automatically translate into a proportional boost in Russia's military potential. Many of these funds are directed toward compensations for soldiers, veterans, and their families.

Russia's persistent focus on defense expenditures likely impacts the effectiveness and resilience of its social programs. This could challenge the Kremlin's ability to sustain its war efforts, particularly given the mounting pressure on the Russian economy and Putin's tendency to avoid risks to his regime's stability.

Notably, yesterday's law on Russia's 2025 budget, which allocates $145 billion for defense, is the largest amount of money Russia has ever allocated for war.