Harris leads Trump in key states - Bloomberg poll
Kamala Harris (Getty Images)
Kamala Harris has maintained the momentum she brought to the presidential race, leading or tying with Republican Donald Trump in each of the seven states most likely to determine the outcome of the election, according to Bloomberg.
A Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll conducted in swing states after last week's Democratic National Convention showed that the Vice President has reduced or erased Trump's advantage on key economic issues and has established herself as more trustworthy than her opponent in protecting individual freedoms.
Harris now leads by 2 percentage points among registered voters in seven states.
Harris has opened up new paths to victory by bringing swing states in the "Sun Belt" like Georgia and Nevada back into play. Nowhere is this more evident than in North Carolina, where Harris currently holds a 2-point lead. No Democratic presidential candidate has won there since Barack Obama in 2008, and Trump was leading by 10 points as recently as April.
Harris's rising numbers in North Carolina have forced Republicans to spend over $16 million on TV ads supporting Trump over the past five weeks. The closest state remains Arizona, where the candidates are tied. In Wisconsin, Harris now holds a statistically significant 8-point lead.
Honeymoon continues
Presidential candidates usually get a small boost in support after lavish conventions, but a series of unusual events this summer disrupted the usual campaign rhythm.
Early presidential debates in June revealed that Biden performed so poorly he dropped out of the race under pressure in less than a month. Trump survived an assassination attempt before his own convention and enjoyed the largest lead in national polls before Harris entered the race, bringing new enthusiasm and record fundraising to the Democrats.
"Kamala Harris did not get a convention bump because she got a bump at the beginning of her campaign. Her bump was her campaign launch," said Eli Yokley, US political analyst at Morning Consult. "What we have seen continue since she got in the race is substantial positive coverage breaking through to voters. The buzz around her campaign is very positive.”
The Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll included 4,962 registered voters in seven swing states: 805 in Arizona, 801 in Georgia, 702 in Michigan, 450 in Nevada, 700 in North Carolina, and 803 in Pennsylvania. The surveys were conducted online from August 23 to 27.
The US "Sun Belt" includes states such as Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, California, Nevada, and Virginia.
The US presidential election will be held on November 5, 2024. The main candidates are Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump.
According to a nationwide Reuters/Ipsos poll, Harris leads Trump with 45% to 41%.
An Associated Press-NORC poll showed that Americans have a significantly more favorable view of Harris compared to Trump.
