Could Georgia face Ukrainian scenario of Yanukovych era, expert explains
Georgia is unlikely to repeat Ukraine's scenario during the Revolution of Dignity. The Kremlin is prepared, so it is not excluded that Russia may expand its occupation zone in Georgia.
Vakhtang Maisaya, an Expert from the Foreign Policy Research Center OPAD in Georgia, made such a statement in a comment for the YouTube channel RBC-Ukraine.
"Unlike the Ukrainian scenario, where Putin essentially abandoned his ally Yanukovych, and then Yanukovych abandoned himself, the situation has fundamentally changed here. I think the Kremlin has learned a valuable lesson from all the processes that took place during the Maidan," said the expert.
Furthermore, Maisaya does not rule out the possibility of Russia expanding its occupation zone in Georgia even if a revolution occurs.
"In this context, the Kremlin has prepared, and it is already clear that the Kremlin is waging not only a hybrid war against Georgia but also a cognitive war because pro-Russian propagandists and agitators are now emerging from their holes," explained the expert.
Maisaya believes that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has done his "homework" and may have prepared a scenario for Georgia, unlike the one that took place in Ukraine.
"I think the scenario that they developed for the occupied territory of Abkhazia is the same scenario they want to replicate in Georgia itself," said the expert
Situation in Georgia
A new wave of protests began in Georgia after the government announced the "suspension" of the country's European integration until 2028. Protests continue in Tbilisi and other cities, with security forces attempting to disperse the rallies.
Georgia's Prime Minister, Irakli Kobakhidze, thanked the security forces for dispersing the protests.
In addition, Kobakhidze stated that the ruling party will not allow the "Ukrainian Maidan scenario" in Georgia. Ukraine's Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to this statement, rejecting attempts by the Georgian authorities to involve Ukraine in the country's internal political processes.