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Will trade war between USA and China escalate into actual war: Political scientist's opinion

Will trade war between USA and China escalate into actual war: Political scientist's opinion Photo: China's leader Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump (Getty Images)

The trade war between the USA and China is unlikely to escalate into an actual war. Currently, there is no need for military action between the countries, and overall, US President Donald Trump is not prepared for this, states political scientist Volodymyr Fesenko in a comment to the RBC-Ukraine YouTube channel.

"I think neither Trump nor the USA is ready for such a war. I believe both sides are concerned that it could lead to a political conflict. On the contrary, the way Trump is currently handling Taiwan, it benefits China. They can take a pause, and then, once relations with the USA and Trump are settled, they can intensify pressure on Taiwan," said Fesenko.

And essentially, according to the political scientist, it will only be a matter of time before they take control over Taiwan, either economically or politically, without any war.

"I don’t think there’s a need for direct military action between China and the USA right now. But a trade war is possible. This is like the famous tale where two bulls meet on a bridge. If they don’t want to compromise, don’t act rationally, and just push against each other, then even flare-ups of a major trade war within six months could be a big risk. In any case, it’s hard to imagine the negative consequences," Fesenko noted.

Trade war between the USA and China

US President Donald Trump initiated a trade war against China on April 2, by imposing tariffs on all goods from China at a rate of 54%.

In response, China began to retaliate symmetrically against US actions.

By April 9, Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for the largest trading partners. However, he increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, further escalating the confrontation between the two largest economies in the world.

Today, it was revealed that China raised tariffs on all goods from the USA from 84% to 125%. The changes will take effect on April 12.

Earlier, China promised to "fight to the end" in the tariff war with Trump, calling US tariffs blackmail.