Russian troop losses in Ukraine - ISW experts
ISW experts estimate the rate of Russian troop losses in Ukraine (Photo: Getty Images)
Russian troops are likely to suffer losses in Ukraine at such a rate that they will barely have time to replenish their reserves, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
The Ukrainian Armed Forces previously stated that in November 2023, Russian troops lost almost 11,000 personnel in the Kupiansk, Lyman, and Bakhmut regions. At the same time, the pace of hostilities in these areas is currently lower than in the Avdiivka area.
These casualty reports suggest that Russian losses in the Avdiivka area could be even higher, given the higher intensity of fighting there. Russian troops are currently conducting massive infantry assaults to capture Avdiivka, apparently to preserve armored vehicles despite the risk of even greater casualties.
ISW analysts suggest that Russian assaults in Ukraine are generally exhausting the Russian army.
According to several sources, Russia is mobilizing 20,000 to 40,000 people each month, and this figure may be lower than the current rate of Russian army losses in Ukraine. Recent failed assaults have prompted the Russian military command to urgently deploy newly formed and understaffed units to Ukraine to reinforce the front line.
Experts note that high Russian casualties will likely prevent Russian forces from fully manning existing units in Ukraine and forming new operational and strategic reserves if Russia's force-building efforts continue at the current pace.
ISW's key findings
- The U.S. Department of Defense announced a new aid package for Ukraine on the sidelines of the International Defense Industry Forum in Washington, DC.
- The Federation Council passed a resolution confirming that the upcoming Russian presidential election will be held on March 17, 2024, amid ongoing Kremlin efforts to legitimize the election.
- Russian troops continued their offensive on the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line near Bakhmut and Avdiivka, making some progress near Avdiivka.
- Ukrainian guerrillas and residents of the occupied territories continue to provide Ukrainian officials with information on Russian targets.
Previously, it was reported that the last day was bad for the occupants in the Tauride sector. The Ukrainian Armed Forces managed to eliminate 520 occupants and the R-330Zh Zhitel in this area alone.
