Russia preparing larger-scale strikes: ISW issues grim forecast

Russia is preparing larger-scale strikes against Ukraine, as evidenced by the increase in missile and attack drone production in the country, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) report.
Analysts examined the recent combined attacks by Russian forces on Ukrainian cities, noting that Russia launched missiles and drones against Ukraine during the night of July 26.
According to the ISW, Russia's defense industry is ramping up its missile and drone production.
"Russia's increasing missile and drone production will likely allow Russia to continue conducting increasingly larger strikes against Ukraine during Fall 2025," the report states.
ISW analysts estimate that by November 2025, Russia may be capable of launching up to 2,000 drones in a single night.
"Increasingly large Russian strike packages highlight the critical importance of Western assistance in bolstering Ukraine's air defense capabilities, particularly with US-made Patriot air defense systems that can effectively counter Russian ballistic missile threats," the analysts noted.
Combined strike on Ukraine on July 26
During the night of July 26, Russia attacked Kharkiv, Dnipro, Kamianske, and Pavlohrad using drones, missiles, and guided bombs.
In Dnipro, one man was killed. Air defense forces in the city and the surrounding region shot down seven missiles and 26 drones. A residential building and an industrial facility were damaged.
Kharkiv was hit more than 20 times within three hours; among the injured were emergency responders.
In the Zaporizhzhia region, the Russian strike caused fires and destroyed a house.