ISW analyzed Ukrainian counteroffensive success in several directions

Advancement of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

Ukrainian troops conducted counteroffensive operations on at least three sectors of the frontline, achieving success on June 19.

According to the Russian "war correspondent," on June 19, the Ukrainian soldiers continued their attacks to the northwest, northeast, and southwest of Bakhmut, claiming that the Ukrainian Forces made progress in the area of Krasnopolivka (approximately 12 kilometers northeast of Bakhmut).

According to the Deputy Minister of Defense Hanna Maliar, the Defense Forces have advanced up to 7 kilometers and liberated 113 square kilometers of territory, including 8 populated areas in the western parts of the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions, over the past week on the Tavria (Zaporizhia) direction.

Russian "war correspondents" claimed that Ukrainian forces attacked south of Velyka Novosilka in the western Donetsk region.

Offensive actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Zaporizhzhia direction

Geolocated footage published on June 19 confirmed that the Ukrainian Armed Forces liberated Pyatykhatky, located approximately 25 kilometers southwest of Orikhiv in the western Zaporizhzhia region.

Military bloggers also reported battles in the south and southwest of Orikhiv throughout the day on June 19.

On June 19, the Ministry of Defense of the United Kingdom assessed that Russia likely deployed significant parts of the Dnipro Grouping of Forces from the eastern (left) bank of the Kherson region to the Zaporizhzhia and Bakhmut directions in response to the Ukrainian counteroffensive actions over the past 10 days.

Key takeaways:

• Russian forces conducted drone and missile strikes targeting southern Ukraine on June 19.
• US Secretary of State Antony Blinken reported that the Chinese government reiterated that it is not providing, and will not provide, lethal assistance to Russia for use in Ukraine.
• US defense manufacturer Lockheed Martin indicated that it is ready to help Ukraine fly and maintain Lockheed’s F-16 fighter jets if NATO states agree to send them to Ukraine.
• Kremlin-affiliated Russian tech giant Yandex claimed that international sanctions against Russia prevented the company from providing the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) with user data in compliance with a Russian security law, resulting in a significant fine.
• Russian forces made gains in the Kupyansk area and continued ground attacks along the Svatove-Kreminna line.
• Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations while Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Bakhmut.
• Russian and Ukrainian forces conducted limited attacks on the Avdiivka-Donetsk line and made marginal gains.
• Ukrainian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the administrative border between the western Donetsk and eastern Zaporizhzhia regions.
• Ukrainian forces conducted limited ground attacks in the western Zaporizhia region.
• The Wagner Group continues efforts to expand its recruitment pool in the wake of significant losses in Ukraine.
• Russian sources claimed that a car carrying a Zaporizhia region occupation official exploded in Simferopol, occupied Crime

Ukraine's counteroffensive

Ukraine's counteroffensive actions have entered an active phase. At the same time, Ukrainian forces have liberated several settlements in the Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions.

On June 19, the Ministry of Defense confirmed the de-occupation of the village of Pyatykhatky in the Zaporizhia region.

According to Reuters, the Ukrainian military leadership engaged three out of twelve prepared brigades in the counteroffensive. Journalists suggest that the main battle is yet to come.

It should be noted that according to the Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, Oleksiy Danilov, the Ukrainian counteroffensive is proceeding according to a plan.