'Forces are not equal': Estonia on possible Russian offensive in Ukraine
Colonel Janno Märk (video screenshot)
At present, it is difficult to assess whether a Russian offensive will occur in Ukraine this spring, according to Colonel Janno Märk, deputy chief of staff of the Estonian division for operational work.
He said that over the past year and a half, Russia has been mobilizing an average of 30,000 personnel per month.
"These forces, of course, are not equal training and equipment wise, as they were at the beginning of the war. If we look at manpower, it appears that Russian troops are able to maintain the current pace of the offensive, and may be able to launch an offensive in a new direction. However, assessing the likelihood of this is quite difficult," Märk said.
Russian advance
ISW analysts have said that Russian forces may launch a large-scale offensive on the Donetsk front at the end of spring or the beginning of summer.
However, they believe that Russian forces will likely only be able to commence a coordinated large-scale offensive operation on one operational front due to limitations in their own human resources and planning.
