Russia's economy enters stagnation as November GDP grows just 0.1% - Center for Countering Disinformation
Photo: Vladimir Putin, Russian president (Getty Images)
Russia’s economy has effectively stalled due to the Kremlin’s war against Ukraine. By the end of 2025, the country recorded its lowest GDP growth since 2023, indicating that the economy is entering stagnation, according to the Center for Countering Disinformation.
"According to Russia’s Ministry of Economic Development, Russia’s GDP grew by just 0.1% year-on-year in November 2025. This is the worst result since early 2023 and effectively signals the economy’s entry into stagnation," the publication says.
In particular, industrial output in Russia fell into negative territory for the first time in nine months (-0.7%). The Center for Countering Disinformation stressed that this is not a seasonal fluctuation, as industry had been the backbone of the so-called "war-driven growth" that formally propped up economic indicators in 2023–2024.
The Center added that even analysts loyal to the Kremlin are now recording a sharp increase in the risk of recession as early as 2026.
"They state that the economic model based on three pillars, budgetary pumping, import substitution, and forced lending, has exhausted itself," the statement said.
Summing up, the Center emphasized that the situation is a direct consequence of the war and the Kremlin’s ‘managerial inadequacy.’ The longer Moscow drags this out, the more severe the consequences will be.
"Russia’s authorities are deliberately continuing the aggression even when the economic base to sustain it is no longer sufficient. Russia’s economy is heading into a dead end. And the longer the Kremlin ignores reality, the more painful the consequences will be," the Center for Countering Disinformation concluded.
Decline in Russia's production and economy
Several weeks ago, the Center also reported that Russia’s statistical agencies officially recorded a drop in industrial production in November 2025.
The steepest declines were seen in tractor manufacturing (over 61%), bulldozers (nearly 54%), passenger railcars (50%), elevators (over 37%), while car production fell by more than 34%.
Meanwhile, The Washington Post recently reported that Russia is facing serious economic difficulties due to the war in Ukraine, and that the situation could worsen significantly in 2026.
For more details on what is going wrong with Russia’s economy and who is keeping it afloat, see the full report by RBC-Ukraine.