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Political scientist asseses risks for Ukraine in case of Trump's presidency

Political scientist asseses risks for Ukraine in case of Trump's presidency Photo: Former US President Donald Trump (Getty Images)

Ukraine should prepare for the possible re-election of Donald Trump as the President of the United States of America. After his return to power, problems with financial aid may begin, as well as leaning toward negotiations with Russia, says political scientist Volodymyr Fesenko.

This is stated in the RBC-Ukraine article "Ran into criticism. How Trump's statements prompting Europe to reconsider U.S. leadership in NATO".

Political scientist Volodymyr Fesenko emphasizes that Trump managed to create great risks for Ukraine long before the elections.

"The situation in the U.S. Congress is a consequence of Trump's position, which categorically rejects compromises with Joe Biden. Already, this has created major problems. It is very likely that if he becomes president, there will be no budgetary support for Ukraine. Military support may be maintained, but they may partially provide weapons on credit because the position of populists is that money should work for their own country. And undoubtedly, there is a great risk that under Trump, especially at the beginning, we will start leaning towards agreements with Russia," he noted.

As for the threats to Ukraine on the way to NATO, according to the political scientist, there is no need to talk about it. After all, first of all, substantive Euro-Atlantic integration is actually being blocked by the current US administration.

Secondly, in fact, the topic of the Alliance worries Trump much less than other issues. There is no talk of joining during the war, but the Biden administration is in no hurry to even invite Ukraine.

As Fesenko noted, there is only one way out - to prepare for the possible election of Trump and build communication with his team. And the Ukrainian side is already engaged in this.

For example, the other day Kyiv was visited by a delegation with the chairman of the Congress Intelligence Committee, Republican Mike Turner. And in a recent interview for CNN, the head of the GUR, Kyrylo Budanov, called Trump "an experienced person, and he has fallen many times and gotten back up again." According to him, to say that he is a supporter of the Russian Federation is "complete nonsense."

"The passage about him was a bit in a complimentary form. Everyone knows that Trump doesn't like criticism. Yes, it's a bit of playing up, but it doesn't mean we support him. The imperative of Ukrainian policy is bipartisan support. We don't support Republicans or Democrats, especially during elections - we work with both parties," Fesenko added.

Elections in the USA

The US presidential election is scheduled for November 5, 2024. According to forecasts, the main candidate from the Democrats will be the current American leader, Joe Biden. From the Republicans, in addition to Donald Trump, US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley is among the favorites.

In December, Trump was removed from the ballot in the Maine primary. In addition, the Supreme Court of the state of Colorado also prohibited Trump from participating in the primaries on its territory. At the same time, Trump won the intra-party Republican elections in Iowa.

More details about the main topics of the elections in the USA - in the material of RBC-Ukraine.