Another round of escalation near Kupiansk, Russians have little chance - Expert reveals
What is happening in the Kupiansk direction is just another escalation phase. Russian invaders have limited chances of occupying the city or advancing to the eastern bank of the Oskil River within the Kharkiv region, according to the material by RBC-Ukraine titled "Avdiivka draining Russian resources: How Ukraine defends East and expands its foothold."
As military sources note, the defense of Kupiansk is crucial because, if successful, Russians may occupy the city and advance to the eastern bank of the Oskil River within the Kharkiv region.
At the same time, Oleksandr Musiienko, the head of the Center for Military Legal Studies, believes that there are not many threats in this area. According to him, the situation has not changed much for several months. The enemy accumulates forces, goes on the attack, our troops repulse it, and if the Russians achieve minor tactical successes, they are still forced to stop the offensive.
"This is just another round of escalation with an emphasis on manpower. Plus, the weather interferes, and the occupiers themselves complain about it. I think that here we will confidently restrain the enemy since he has much less strength than there was a month or two ago," the expert said.
According to Kovalenko, the Russians do not have much chance either in occupying Kupiansk or in reaching Oskil through the Lyman-Kupiansk axis. According to him, their "Center" group has lost its most combat-ready units. These are units of the 90th Tank Division, as well as the 2nd and 41st combined armies of the Russian Armed Forces.
"Almost all of them were sent near Avdiivka, and there are no opportunities to go to Oskil. They will continue to press Kupiansk, they have a numerical advantage, but, on the other hand, the Defense Forces of Ukraine have built serious fortified areas, for the breakthrough of which much more powerful resources are needed. And they can't afford it, because Avdiivka absorbs all the resources," the expert adds," the expert noted.
Frontline situation
Currently, the Ukrainian military offensive is concentrated on two fronts - Bakhmut and Melitopol. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are attacking south of Bahmut and conducting an offensive operation in the Zaporizhzhia region.
In addition, Ukrainian troops are consolidating their positions on the left bank of the Kherson region.
At the same time, the occupiers are trying to break through the defense of Ukrainian forces in the east. The Russians want to encircle Avdiivka and have shifted to active defense near Bahmut, attempting to regain lost positions.